کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1016316 939947 2006 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Is it possible to make scientific forecasts in social sciences?
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Is it possible to make scientific forecasts in social sciences?
چکیده انگلیسی

This article attempts to answer the question, whether and how it is possible to make scientific forecasts in social sciences through the investigation of the actual scientific-philosophical problems and methodological aspects of futures studies.1 Following a critical analysis it describes the scientific–philosophical features of uncovering and forecasting the possible futures from the classic predictions to the latest approaches. In the methodological chapter it turns its attention to the impossibility of making scientific predictions and demonstrates the methods with the help of which—reacting to the challenges of uncertainty, instability and various changes—futures studies can perform its original function, i.e. supports present decisions providing information about the future.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Futures - Volume 38, Issue 5, June 2006, Pages 561–574
نویسندگان
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