Modeling Spillover Effects of Leapfrog Development and Urban Sprawl upon Institutional Delinquencies: A Case for Pakistan

Land conversion from forest & agricultural to industrial & residential has raised serious concerns for Urban Sprawl in Pakistan, causing Institutional polarization and delinquencies. This has inadvertent outcomes for sustainability of urban development such as inefficient land distribution, high cost of travelling, more pollution, more traffic congestion & higher value of time etc. Solving the Urban Sprawl problem is quite difficult therefore government is trying to modulate the Urban Design. The motive of the research is to find out what are the main reasons for Urban Sprawl in Pakistan and give policy guidance for the remedy of this issue. The research relies upon data on institutional delinquencies associated with urban development in the economy and other data from World Development Indicators such as Urban Population Growth Rate and Land Transformation to explain the elements causing Urban Sprawl during the years 1997 to 2013. Robust regression has been used to illustrate the Urban Sprawl as a function of different land and housing variables. The results show that Institutional Ineffectiveness regarding Urbanization is significantly affected by the pressures been posed in form of Urban Sprawl as well as Leapfrog Development.