کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1140286 | 1489434 | 2008 | 7 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Spatial interaction of crime incidents in Japan Spatial interaction of crime incidents in Japan](/preview/png/1140286.png)
We analyze the development of 18 types of criminal records in Japan for the period 1991–2001 across 47 prefectures with spatial lag and spatio-temporal heteroscedasticity. We explore the hypothesis that crime data are related to socio-economic variables in Japan. We extend the Bayesian approach of LeSage [J.P. LeSage, Bayesian estimation of spatial autoregressive models, Int. Regional Sci. Rev. 20 (1997) 113–129] for spatio-temporal Bayesian models. Additionally we analyze unobserved heteroscedasticity in the panel model by variance inflation factors as in Geweke [J. Geweke, Bayesian treatment of the independent Student-t linear model, J. Appl. Econ. 8 (1993) 19–40]. Positive and significant spatial dependencies can be found for 12 types of crimes and the influence of the socio-economic variables varies over the type of crimes.
Journal: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation - Volume 78, Issues 2–3, July 2008, Pages 276–282