کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1140595 1489417 2014 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Prediction intervals of future observations for a sample of random size from any continuous distribution
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
فواصل پیش بینی مشاهدات آینده برای یک نمونه از اندازه تصادفی از هر توزیع مداوم
کلمات کلیدی
سفارش آمار، اندازه نمونه تصادفی فاصله پیش بینی شده، پوشش احتمالی، شبیه سازی مونت کارلو
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی کنترل و سیستم های مهندسی
چکیده انگلیسی


• A general method for predicting future observations from any arbitrary continuous distribution is proposed.
• Two pivotal statistics are modified to construct prediction intervals for future observations when the sample size is fixed or random.
• An algorithm is constructed to demonstrate the practical importance of the theoretical results.
• Simulation study is applied on some important distributions to investigate the efficiency of the suggested method.
• An example for real lifetime data is analyzed.

In this paper, a general method for predicting future observations from any arbitrary continuous distribution is proposed. Two pivotal statistics are developed to construct prediction intervals of future observations in two cases. In the first case, we assume fixed sample size, while in the second case, the sample size is assumed to be positive integer-valued random variable independent of the observations. Explicit forms for the distribution functions of the pivotal statistics are derived. Some special cases for the random sample size are considered. An algorithm is constructed to demonstrate the practical importance of the theoretical results. Moreover, simulation study is applied on some important distributions to investigate the efficiency of the suggested method. Finally, an example for real lifetime data is analyzed, where it is assumed that the distribution of the data is unknown.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation - Volume 97, March 2014, Pages 1–13
نویسندگان
, , ,