کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1141109 | 956764 | 2009 | 18 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A risk map of international tourist regions in Spain
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
کنترل و سیستم های مهندسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: A risk map of international tourist regions in Spain A risk map of international tourist regions in Spain](/preview/png/1141109.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper presents a different approach to tourism research at the regional level. Financial econometric techniques are applied to international tourist arrivals, as well as their volatilities, in the five main tourist regions in Spain, using monthly international tourist arrivals during 1997-2007. Univariate time series models are estimated for the conditional means of monthly international tourist arrivals and their volatilities. The estimated conditional volatility models are GARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1). Both the second moment and log-moment conditions are calculated to provide diagnostic checks of the estimated models. The conditional mean estimates are generally statistically adequate, and the inferences are valid.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation - Volume 79, Issue 9, May 2009, Pages 2741-2758
Journal: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation - Volume 79, Issue 9, May 2009, Pages 2741-2758
نویسندگان
Ana Bartolomé, Michael McAleer, Vicente Ramos, Javier Rey-Maquieira,