کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1161291 | 1490450 | 2010 | 14 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
An empirical approach to symmetry and probability
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
فیزیک و نجوم
فیزیک و نجوم (عمومی)
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چکیده انگلیسی
We often rely on symmetries to infer outcomes’ probabilities, as when we infer that each side of a fair coin is equally likely to come up on a given toss. Why are these inferences successful? I argue against answering this question with an a priori indifference principle. Reasons to reject such a principle are familiar, yet instructive. They point to a new, empirical explanation for the success of our probabilistic predictions. This has implications for indifference reasoning generally. I argue that a priori symmetries need never constrain our probability attributions, even for initial credences.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics - Volume 41, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 27–40
Journal: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics - Volume 41, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 27–40
نویسندگان
Jill North,