کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1161291 1490450 2010 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
An empirical approach to symmetry and probability
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه فیزیک و نجوم فیزیک و نجوم (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
An empirical approach to symmetry and probability
چکیده انگلیسی

We often rely on symmetries to infer outcomes’ probabilities, as when we infer that each side of a fair coin is equally likely to come up on a given toss. Why are these inferences successful? I argue against answering this question with an a priori indifference principle. Reasons to reject such a principle are familiar, yet instructive. They point to a new, empirical explanation for the success of our probabilistic predictions. This has implications for indifference reasoning generally. I argue that a priori symmetries need never constrain our probability attributions, even for initial credences.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics - Volume 41, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 27–40
نویسندگان
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