The Ultra-short Term Prediction of Wind Power Based on Chaotic Time Series

In this paper, we propose a method to predict ultra-short term wind power production with chaotic time series. Through analysis of the data measured from real wind farm, the ultra-short term prediction model of wind power is established based on the space theory of chaotic time series phase. The wind power of a real wind farm in northeast China in some future time including 15 m, 30 m and 1 h are predicted by the prediction model finally. Test results are presented in the paper.