Disastrous Forecasting of Fire Accidents in Assembly Occupancies

With rapid development of economy, fire accidents in assembly occupancies usually take place with enormous economy losses and personnel's casualty, it is necessary to how to forecast the occurrence of fire accidents according to fire statistic. The disastrous forecast model is established and fire accidents happened in one province are analyzed, it is found out that forecast precision of the model is better and the result is consistent with the actual value, it will provide a certain theory support for fire prevention.