Impact of Economic Restructuring on the Energy System in Thailand

The objective of this study is to explore the scenarios of energy and energy-related greenhouse gases with different pictures of future economic structure to 2030. The scenario without change of economic structure under the current energy policy, namely reference scenario (REF)’ is simulated. Economic activities in industrial and service sector rely on the current structure. The existing schemes of energy policy and planning, e.g. renewable energy and efficiency, are assumed to continue with the achievement on their target. Comparatively, an alternative scenario with the target of economic restructuring namely case with economic structural change (ECOS)’ is illustrated. In this case, the activities in agricultural and service sector will become much more important, while the activities in industrial sector become saturated. By using an energy accounting model namely Long-range Energy Alternative Planning system (LEAP)’, the impact of the economic structure change on the pattern of energy consumption and energy-related greenhouse gases by sector for two different scenarios will be comparatively revealed.