کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1772056 1020917 2013 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Study on The Prediction Method of Characteristic Parameters of Solar X-ray Flares
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه فیزیک و نجوم نجوم و فیزیک نجومی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Study on The Prediction Method of Characteristic Parameters of Solar X-ray Flares
چکیده انگلیسی

Solar flares are important events for the space weather. The predic- tion of relevant parameters of solar flares has practical significance for evaluating the effect of sudden ionospheric disturbance (SID). The data of soft X-ray flux observed by the GOES-8 satellite in the 23th solar cycle are used to predict the peak intensities and ending times of X-class flares with the method of data fit- ting. Using this method to analyze the X-class flares in the 23th solar cycle, it is possible to predict the peak flux of an X-class flare 17 minutes in advance at most. And the ending time of an X-class flare may be predicted about 60 minutes in advance at most. The predicted results indicate that the prediction method has certain effectiveness and applicability.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics - Volume 37, Issue 3, July–September 2013, Pages 255-265