کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1858964 1530557 2016 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
NARX prediction of some rare chaotic flows: Recurrent fuzzy functions approach
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه فیزیک و نجوم فیزیک و نجوم (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
NARX prediction of some rare chaotic flows: Recurrent fuzzy functions approach
چکیده انگلیسی


• A new method is proposed for prediction of chaotic time series.
• This method is based on novel recurrent fuzzy functions (RFFs) approach.
• Some rare chaotic flows are used as test systems.
• The new method shows proper performance in short-term prediction.
• It also shows proper performance in prediction of attractor's topology.

The nonlinear and dynamic accommodating capability of time domain models makes them a useful representation of chaotic time series for analysis, modeling and prediction. This paper is devoted to the modeling and prediction of chaotic time series with hidden attractors using a nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous inputs (NARX) based on a novel recurrent fuzzy functions (RFFs) approach. Case studies of recently introduced chaotic systems with hidden attractors plus classical chaotic systems demonstrate that the proposed modeling methodology exhibits better prediction performance from different viewpoints (short term and long term) compared to some other existing methods.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physics Letters A - Volume 380, Issues 5–6, 15 February 2016, Pages 696–706
نویسندگان
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