کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1897260 | 1044507 | 2008 | 16 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A mechanistic model of mid-latitude decadal climate variability
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
ریاضیات کاربردی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
A simple heuristic model of coupled decadal ocean-atmosphere modes in middle latitudes is developed. Previous studies have treated atmospheric intrinsic variability as a linear stochastic process modified by a deterministic coupling to the ocean. The present paper takes an alternative view: based on observational, as well as process modeling results, it represents this variability in terms of irregular transitions between two anomalously persistent, high-latitude and low-latitude jet-stream states. Atmospheric behavior is thus governed by an equation analogous to that describing the trajectory of a particle in a double-well potential, subject to stochastic forcing. Oceanic adjustment to a positional shift in the atmospheric jet involves persistent circulation anomalies maintained by the action of baroclinic eddies; this process is parameterized in the model as a delayed oceanic response. The associated sea-surface temperature anomalies provide heat fluxes that affect atmospheric circulation by modifying the shape of the double-well potential. If the latter coupling is strong enough, the model's spectrum exhibits a peak at a periodicity related to the ocean's eddy-driven adjustment time. A nearly analytical approximation of the coupled model is used to study the sensitivity of this behavior to key model parameters.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena - Volume 237, Issue 5, 1 May 2008, Pages 584-599
Journal: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena - Volume 237, Issue 5, 1 May 2008, Pages 584-599
نویسندگان
S. Kravtsov, W.K. Dewar, M. Ghil, J.C. McWilliams, P. Berloff,