Association of IGF-I and IGFBP-3 with health care costs and hospitalization: Results from a prospective observational study

ObjectivePrevious cohort studies found robust associations of serum insulin-like growth factor I (IGF-I) and its main binding protein IGFBP-3 with increased morbidity or mortality. This study investigates the relationships between IGF-I and IGFBP-3 with health care costs and hospitalization in a general population and whether adding IGF-I or IGFBP-3 to a model of established health care predictors improves prediction.MethodsData from a population-based cohort study of 3139 men and women in Germany, aged 20 to 80 years at baseline were used (median follow-up time: 5.0 years). Self-reported physician visits, length of hospital stay were used to estimate annual costs. IGF-I and IGFBP-3 were categorized at the 10th and 90th percentile, to indicate ‘low’, ‘intermediate’, and ‘high’ concentrations, respectively.ResultsTotal annual health care costs, with the major component of inpatient costs, and risk of hospitalization at baseline and follow-up were higher in subjects with low compared to intermediate IGF-I or IGFBP-3, after multivariable-adjustment. Subjects with low in contrast to intermediate IGF-I exhibited 30.6% higher annual total costs 5 years after baseline examination, corresponding to a difference in adjusted costs of EUR 436.61.ConclusionsLow IGF-I and IGFBP-3 independently predict future health care costs and hospitalization. IGF-I or IGFBP-3 might be useful to identify subjects with excess health care use. The predictive performance of cross-sectional and longitudinal models of total and inpatient costs were slightly improved by adding IGF-I or IGFBP-3 but the cost-effectiveness of inclusion into prediction models needs to be examined.