کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
397201 1438517 2007 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Pfanzagl exchanges diagnose an anomaly in expected utility decision theory
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر هوش مصنوعی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Pfanzagl exchanges diagnose an anomaly in expected utility decision theory
چکیده انگلیسی

Johann Pfanzagl proposed an additional decision axiom in 1959, complementary to the usual axioms, which would have tightly restricted permissible monetary utility functions. Subsequent debate partially clarified previously unacknowledged normative issues, and ended with orthodox consensus favoring a principled reform of practice. An analytical device contributed by Pfanzagl is extended here to show that the consensus practice sometimes conflicts with a principle often expressed as a continuity axiom, in situations as simple as Allais’ famous example. The axioms have from their beginnings been recognized as incomplete, so these new exceptions cannot much threaten the axioms’ role in such theories as a popular semantics for subjective probability. However, the paper suggests an enhancement of sensitivity analysis in applied work, sometimes overruling orthodox advice.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Approximate Reasoning - Volume 46, Issue 2, October 2007, Pages 408-420