کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4377048 1303405 2011 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Temporal limits to simulating the future spread pattern of invasive species: Buddleja davidii in Europe and New Zealand
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک بوم شناسی، تکامل، رفتار و سامانه شناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Temporal limits to simulating the future spread pattern of invasive species: Buddleja davidii in Europe and New Zealand
چکیده انگلیسی
► Modelling the spread of invasive species could assist with managing their spread and impacts. ► Stochastic dynamic spread models have been used to study the patterns of spread of invasive species. ► A derivative of pAUC, the volume under the curve, is used to measure overall model performance. ► Through time, stochastic dynamic models maintain high sensitivity at a cost of ever decreasing specificity. ► The tendency of stochastic dynamic spread models to deteriorate progressively, limits their projection abilities.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Ecological Modelling - Volume 222, Issue 11, 10 June 2011, Pages 1880-1887
نویسندگان
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