Reduced seed production, inbreeding, and pollen shortage in a small population of a threatened tree, Magnolia stellata

We investigated how genetic factors and pollen shortage affect seed production in a small population of Magnolia stellata, a threatened insect-pollinated tree. We used microsatellite and manual pollination techniques, and compared a small population to a large one. Compared to the large population, the small population showed low allelic variation and had an FIS significantly greater than 0 in adults, indicating that genetic deterioration, including genetic drift and inbreeding, may have occurred in adults. Manual self-pollination lowered seed production relative to manual cross-pollination to a different extent between populations: δ (the magnitude of inbreeding depression due to self-fertilization) was lower in the small population than in the large population. However, under natural pollination, the estimated embryo mortality rates after ovules self-fertilized were similar between the two populations because the primary selfing rate was higher in the small population. The ovule mortality rate due to pollen shortage and that due to factors independent of pollen shortage and selfing were both approximately 10% higher in the small population, suggesting that pollen transfer may have decreased and genetic deterioration effects may have increased in that population. These factors reduced seed production in the small population (female reproductive success = 0.3%) compared to the large population (2.6%). Our results suggest that seed production in the small population of M. stellata is strictly limited by elevated pollen shortage, selfing, and genetic deterioration in adults, which accelerate the risk of extinction.