کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
4630271 | 1340597 | 2012 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Analysis of an improved epidemic model with stochastic disease transmission
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
ریاضیات کاربردی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper proposes an improved logistic epidemic model and carries out the complete parameters analysis of asymptotic behavior of infectious diseases. Some interesting details such as the threshold value of outbreak of epidemics and critical states of disease spread are derived. The mean and variance of proportion of infected population are given explicitly. The results show that our model is more reasonable and applicable to describe the real situation. Especially, P=12 might be considered as the alarm for relate institutions to make effective policies to prevent and control some epidemics.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Applied Mathematics and Computation - Volume 218, Issue 19, 1 June 2012, Pages 9750-9758
Journal: Applied Mathematics and Computation - Volume 218, Issue 19, 1 June 2012, Pages 9750-9758
نویسندگان
Meng Liu, Qiong Wu, Ke Wang,