کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
478791 | 1446150 | 2009 | 7 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Multicriteria estimation of probabilities on basis of expert non-numeric, non-exact and non-complete knowledge
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی کامپیوتر
علوم کامپیوتر (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Multicriteria estimation of probabilities on basis of expert non-numeric, non-exact and non-complete knowledge Multicriteria estimation of probabilities on basis of expert non-numeric, non-exact and non-complete knowledge](/preview/png/478791.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
A new method of alternatives’ probabilities estimation under deficiency of expert numeric information (obtained from different sources) is proposed. The method is based on the Bayesian model of uncertainty randomization. Additional non-numeric, non-exact, and non-complete expert knowledge (NNN-knowledge, NNN-information) is used for final estimation of the alternatives’ probabilities. An illustrative example demonstrates the proposed method application to forecasting of oil shares price with the use of NNN-information obtained from different experts (investment firms).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research - Volume 195, Issue 3, 16 June 2009, Pages 857–863
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research - Volume 195, Issue 3, 16 June 2009, Pages 857–863
نویسندگان
Nikolai Hovanov, Maria Yudaeva, Kirill Hovanov,