کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4919202 1428946 2017 36 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Probabilistic life cycle costing of existing buildings retrofit interventions towards nZE target: Methodology and application example
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Probabilistic life cycle costing of existing buildings retrofit interventions towards nZE target: Methodology and application example
چکیده انگلیسی
In order to overcome this limit, this work suggests a probabilistic LCC based on uncertainty and sensitivity analysis via Monte Carlo methods and illustrates it through a building case study under several retrofit scenarios sighting the target nZE. The methodology allows investigating the economic effectiveness of alternative measures, giving insight into possible ranges of the economic indicator related to a specific design option. The analysis is focused on a micro-economic dimension and based on the availability and reliability of inputs data and on their proper characterization with Probability Density Functions. Variance-based methods for sensitivity analysis are employed to establish the most influential parameters on output uncertainty. The paper demonstrates the potentials of a probabilistic LCC in providing a more realistic decision support about investments for energy efficient projects.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy and Buildings - Volume 144, 1 June 2017, Pages 416-432
نویسندگان
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