Stochastic Modeling and Simulation of Olive Fruit Fly Outbreaks

Lately lot of work has been done in the area of modeling insect population dynamics based on the emergency of new information technologies. In this paper we propose a real-time online alert information system for estimating the population evolution of the olive fruit fly. The proposed system simulates the evolution of the biological cycle of olive fruit fly as well as its activity in real field using mobile platforms (smartphones, tablets) for the distributed collection of data from traps and local climate and topological data thus predicting timely olive fruit fly outbreaks. Simulation results are depicted validating the robustness of the proposed information system and revealing the importance of appropriate population control measures in the right time and place.