کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5069359 | 1476986 | 2016 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? New evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? New evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? New evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market](/preview/png/5069359.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
We analyze whether various types of speculative investor correctly anticipate future USD/EUR currency movements or whether they tend rather to react to past exchange rate movements. In contrast to earlier studies, we account for the large number of tests conducted by comparing results based on individual significance tests with those based on controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) or the family-wise error rate (FER). While the evidence for speculative positions leading exchange rate movements, and therefore an inefficient EUR currency futures market, largely collapses if we account for multiple testing, such a pattern does not emerge in the other direction.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Finance Research Letters - Volume 18, August 2016, Pages 218-225
Journal: Finance Research Letters - Volume 18, August 2016, Pages 218-225
نویسندگان
Oliver Hossfeld, Andreas Röthig,