کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5081991 | 1477623 | 2009 | 15 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Prediction intervals for future demand of existing products with an observed demand of zero
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
مهندسی صنعتی و تولید
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چکیده انگلیسی
A proposed technique for forming reliable prediction intervals for the future demand rate of existing products with observed demand of zero is illustrated using methodology adapted from software reliability. By using the demand information from a group of products which includes slow-moving products, prediction intervals for the future demand rate of the products with an observed demand of zero are constructed. A simulation study examined the reliability of these prediction intervals across experimental conditions that included product group size, mean time between demand, and Type I error levels. The proposed prediction intervals had empirical Type I errors closer to their nominal values when there were a sufficient number of products with no sales and also with some sales.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Production Economics - Volume 119, Issue 1, May 2009, Pages 75-89
Journal: International Journal of Production Economics - Volume 119, Issue 1, May 2009, Pages 75-89
نویسندگان
Matthew Lindsey, Robert Pavur,