کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5085015 1477930 2012 5 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
On the nonstationarity of the exchange rate process
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
On the nonstationarity of the exchange rate process
چکیده انگلیسی
We empirically investigate the nonstationarity property of the USD-JPY exchange rate by using a high frequency data set spanning 8 years. We perform a statistical test of strict stationarity based on the two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for the absolute price changes, and Pearson's chi square test for the number of successive price changes in the same direction, and find statistically significant evidence of nonstationarity. Further, we study the recurrence intervals between the days in which nonstationarity occurs and find that the distribution of recurrence intervals is well approximated by an exponential distribution. In addition, we find that the mean conditional recurrence interval hTjT0i is independent of the previous recurrence interval T0. These findings indicate that the recurrence intervals are characterized by a Poisson process. We interpret this observation as a reflection of the Poisson property regarding the arrival of news.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Review of Financial Analysis - Volume 23, June 2012, Pages 30-34
نویسندگان
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