کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5481981 | 1399348 | 2018 | 16 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Comparison of deterministic and data-driven models for solar radiation estimation in China
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
مقایسه مدل های قطعی و داده ای برای برآورد تابش خورشیدی در چین
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کلمات کلیدی
تابش خورشیدی، مدل تعیین کننده، مدل هدایت داده مقایسه چین،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
چکیده انگلیسی
Solar radiation is an indispensable input for many applications, contributing to different fields, including energy, meteorology, ecology, agriculture and industry. A lot of parameterization schemes have been developed for estimating solar radiation in sites around the world. This paper presented a comparative study on the performances of four shortwave solar radiation (SSR) models in different climates, including Yang's hybrid model (YHM), an efficient physically based model (EPP), an hourly solar radiation model (HSRM) and a neural network model (ANNM). Daily meteorological variables observed at 837 stations in China were used as model inputs for YHM and ANNM. MODIS atmospheric and land products (MOD08_D3, MYD08_D3, MOD08_M3, MYD08M3, MOD09CMG, and MYD09CMG) were used to derive the required parameters for EPP and HSRM. Cloud fraction and solar zenith angle were found to be the major parameters influencing the model accuracies. The results indicated that YHM performed superior to EPP, ANNM and HSRM with daily mean RMSE of 2.414, 2.535, 2.855 and 3.645 MJmâ2dayâ1, respectively. The monthly mean RMSE for all models were generally higher in July (3.37Â MJmâ2dayâ1) and lower in January (1.997 MJmâ2dayâ1). It was observed that the monthly mean RMSE was 2.95 MJmâ2 dayâ1 in humid areas, while it is 2.773 MJmâ2dayâ1 in semi-arid areas. Monthly and annual mean SSR (ASSR) during 2002-2015 were calculated to reveal the spatial and temporal variations of SSR across China using daily meteorological data, MOD08_M3 and MOD08_M3 products based on YHM and EPP models. The result showed that there was not obvious variation trends for ASSR in China, the largest value (14.521 MJmâ2dayâ1) was observed in 2003, while the smallest ASSR (14.182 MJmâ2dayâ1) was in 2014; the ASSR values were generally higher in Qinghai-Tibet and lower in northeastern China.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews - Volume 81, Part 1, January 2018, Pages 579-594
Journal: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews - Volume 81, Part 1, January 2018, Pages 579-594
نویسندگان
Wenmin Qin, Lunche Wang, Aiwen Lin, Ming Zhang, Xiangao Xia, Bo Hu, Zigeng Niu,