کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
573832 877411 2007 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Estimating the relationship between measured wind speed and overturning truck crashes using a binary logit model
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی شیمی بهداشت و امنیت شیمی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Estimating the relationship between measured wind speed and overturning truck crashes using a binary logit model
چکیده انگلیسی

This paper develops a quantitative model that correlates overturning freight vehicle crash records in Wyoming to measured wind speeds at nearby weather stations. The database consists of 14,700 truck crashes from 1994 to 2003 and wind speed and gust information from 21 weather stations. A binary logit model was estimated from the data to determine if there was significant correlation between weather station wind data and the likelihood that the crash was of the overturning type. While it is reasonably known that local wind speeds at the crash location are critical in predicting overturning truck crash likelihood, it was not known if distant weather station data were an adequate predictor of these crash types. The results from this work indicate that weather station data can be used as a predictor of overturning crashes. This work provides the necessary first step for the development of operational rules for roadway sections that run high risk of overturning truck crashes in high wind conditions.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Accident Analysis & Prevention - Volume 39, Issue 3, May 2007, Pages 574–580
نویسندگان
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