کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5775892 | 1631751 | 2017 | 20 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
ریاضیات کاربردی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله

چکیده انگلیسی
In this paper, we investigate the global dynamics of a general SIRS epidemic model with a ratio-dependent incidence rate and its corresponding stochastic differential equation version. For the deterministic model, we show that the basic reproduction number R0 determines whether there is an endemic outbreak or not: if R0<1, the disease dies out; while if R0>1, the disease persists. For the stochastic model, we show that its related reproduction number R0S can determine whether there is a unique disease-free stationary distribution or a unique endemic stationary distribution. In addition, we provide analytic results regarding the stochastic boundedness and permanence/extinction. One of the most interesting findings is that random fluctuations introduced in our stochastic model can suppress disease outbreak, which can provide us some useful control strategies to regulate disease dynamics.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Applied Mathematics and Computation - Volume 305, 15 July 2017, Pages 221-240
Journal: Applied Mathematics and Computation - Volume 305, 15 July 2017, Pages 221-240
نویسندگان
Yongli Cai, Yun Kang, Weiming Wang,