کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
590516 878873 2013 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
El pronóstico de lluvias intensas para la Ciudad de México
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی شیمی بهداشت و امنیت شیمی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
El pronóstico de lluvias intensas para la Ciudad de México
چکیده انگلیسی
Numerical Weather Prediction has become a fundamental tool in Civil Protection Institutions. Short term numerical weather prediction for the Valley of Mexico has rarely been evaluated in a systematic way. By using daily observed precipitation data and those predicted with the mesoscale model known as MM5, an evaluation of rainfall forecast is made. It is found that making predictions of high spatial resolution in the Valley of Mexico is of limited quality mainly because of the effects of urbanization and orography over the rainfall. The lack of consistency between predicted and observed rainfall spatial patterns requires an analysis of stationary physical factors that can influence the quality of forecasts. Errors in short term forecasts require risk management strategies to implement disaster prevention actions.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: TIP - Volume 16, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 18-25
نویسندگان
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