Is social projection based on simulation or theory? Why new methods are needed for differentiating

► Methodological problems exist in research on social predictions. ► Correlating own judgments with predictions does not show simulation. ► We point out inconsistent results and possible use of theory. ► We suggest alternative methods based on the difference between simulation and theory. ► Independent vs. juxtaposed predictions, use of 'hot' mental processes, self-reports.