کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7255907 | 1472375 | 2018 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Forward looking analysis: Investigating how individuals 'do' foresight and make sense of the future
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل پیشرو: تحقیق درباره اینکه چگونه افراد "پیش بینی و آینده را درک می کنند
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کلمات کلیدی
نظریه پردازش پیش بینی، روند پیش بینی فردی، حس گرایی آینده تجزیه و تحلیل به جلو،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
چکیده انگلیسی
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the growing field of foresight process theory. Scanning the environment and assessing uncertainty are among the most important managerial activities in strategizing and decision-making. Although their significance in the strategy process is well documented, there is limited research on how uncertainty captured is analysed and interpreted by individuals without any formalised processes in order to anticipate the future. This paper examines how analysts from a professional service company, which specialises in forward-looking analysis, develop foresight, and how they determine the potential impact of their judgements. Within this in-depth inductive case study, firstly we explore forward-looking analysis as a foresight process. Secondly, we investigate how sensemaking takes place within forward-looking analysis. Thirdly, we advance the knowledge on the relationship between foresight and sensemaking; and specifically we show with empirical evidence that prospective sensemaking can be both 'future perfect' (Weickian) and 'future oriented' (post-Weickian).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 126, January 2018, Pages 292-302
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 126, January 2018, Pages 292-302
نویسندگان
E. Tapinos, N. Pyper,