کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7256560 | 1472402 | 2015 | 25 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Possible energy futures for Brazil and Latin America in conservative and stringent mitigation pathways up to 2050
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
آینده آتی انرژی برای برزیل و آمریکای لاتین در مسیرهای محافظه کارانه و سختگیرانه تا سال 2050
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کلمات کلیدی
آمریکای لاتین، برزیل، تغییر آب و هوا، انتشارات، مدل های یکپارچه ارزیابی، سیاست های آب و هوا،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
چکیده انگلیسی
Latin America has a unique position to address climate change impacts due to its many mitigation opportunities and its growing economy. This paper applied two global and one regional integrated assessment models to assess the energy and emissions trends in Brazil and the rest of the Latin American region up to 2050 based on a set of scenarios consistent with current trends and with the 2 °C global mitigation target. The models show that to achieve this target, deep CO2 emission reductions are needed. The power sector offers the greatest mitigation opportunities. The implementation of CCS, in combination with fossil fuels and bioenergy, and hydro, biomass and wind energy are identified in this study as the most promising low-carbon options for the region. The realistic implementation of these options will depend, however, on their capability to overcome the present technical, economic, environmental and social challenges. Besides, an appropriate policy framework to stimulate the transformation of the energy system is also important. Brazil is the first country in Latin America to adopt a national voluntary mitigation goal by law. However, the assessment of the effectiveness of this goal up to now becomes difficult due to the vague targets established.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 98, September 2015, Pages 186-210
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 98, September 2015, Pages 186-210
نویسندگان
Sara Herreras MartÃnez, Alexandre Koberle, Pedro Rochedo, Roberto Schaeffer, Andre Lucena, Alexandre Szklo, Shuichi Ashina, Detlef P. van Vuuren,