کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
8110109 | 1522267 | 2016 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Target post-evaluation of China's “12th Five-Year” oil and gas exploration and development planning and its “13th Five-Year” target prediction
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
هدف از ارزیابی پس از 12 سال پنج سال چین برنامه ریزی اکتشاف و توسعه نفت و گاز و 13 ساله آن پنج ساله پیش بینی هدف
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کلمات کلیدی
چین، نفت و گاز، اکتشاف و توسعه، تولید، رزرواسیون نفت و گاز غیر متعارف، ارزیابی هدف، پیش بینی،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
چکیده انگلیسی
In the turn of 12th and 13th “Five-Year Plan” of China, the global oil and gas market changes greatly. In this regard, the target post-evaluation of the “12th Five-Year” oil and gas exploration and development planning was conducted, which is of significant importance to scientifically and reasonably making the specific “13th Five-Year” oil and gas exploration and development target planning. The post-evaluation results indicate that, in the period of “12th Five-Year Plan”, the oil and gas exploration and development targets of China were satisfactorily completed, but some deficiencies still existed. For example, the target of oil production (2Â ÃÂ 108Â t) was overfulfilled, while the target of oil reserves (65Â ÃÂ 108Â t) remained 6.4% outstanding. The target of gas reserves (3.5Â ÃÂ 1012Â m3) was overfulfilled, while the target of gas production (1385Â ÃÂ 108Â m3) remained 6.2% outstanding. Moreover, the targets of unconventional gases were not satisfactorily completed-shale gas being better than coalbed methane (CBM). Failures to fulfill some targets in “12th Five-Year Plan” were primarily attributed to the slowdown of oil and gas consumption growth, sharp drop of oil price, downgrading of resources, and changes of statistic basis under the new normal. The forecast results suggest that, in the period of “13th Five-Year Plan”, given USD50-70/bbl of world oil price, China's annual average incremental conventional oil and gas in place will be 10.0Â ÃÂ 108-12.0Â ÃÂ 108Â t and 6000Â ÃÂ 108-8000Â ÃÂ 108Â m3 respectively, annual average incremental shale gas and CBM in place will be 1000Â ÃÂ 108-2000Â ÃÂ 108Â m3 and 500Â ÃÂ 108-1000Â ÃÂ 108Â m3 respectively, and annual oil production will be about 2.0Â ÃÂ 108Â t. By 2020, China's annual gas production will approach 1800Â ÃÂ 108-2000Â ÃÂ 108Â m3 (shale gas: 200Â ÃÂ 108Â m3, and CBM: 150Â ÃÂ 108Â m3).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Natural Gas Industry B - Volume 3, Issue 2, March 2016, Pages 108-116
Journal: Natural Gas Industry B - Volume 3, Issue 2, March 2016, Pages 108-116
نویسندگان
Jiping Pan, Yu Lou, Luxin Wang,