کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
8115655 | 1522334 | 2015 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Study on China's wind power development path-Based on the target for 2030
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
مطالعه در مورد مسیر توسعه انرژی باد چین - بر اساس هدف 2030
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کلمات کلیدی
قدرت باد، مسیر توسعه، منحنی یادگیری، مدل انتشار تکنولوژی، برنامه نویسی دینامیک،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
چکیده انگلیسی
As an important form of clean energy, China's wind power has developed rapidly and been given priority in the national energy strategy in recent years. Factors such as resource potential, technological progress, GDP growth, emission regulation scheme, and grid absorptive capacity may all affect wind power development. This study aims to explore China's wind power development optimization path during the period 2013-2030 from the perspective of minimum cost. The model is based upon a dynamic programming approach with the restraints of the learning curve and the technology diffusion model to indicate the influence of the above-mentioned factors. We have the following findings: (1) The government could achieve its established 2030 cumulative installed capacity target; GDP growth and incentive policies, which are closely related to construction cost, are critical factors that may impact on wind power development; (2) The grid absorptive ability is the most crucial factor constraining wind power development in the initial stage while learning rate and carbon emission permit price, are critical factors affecting the wind power development in subsequent stages; (3) With the interactions among the relevant factors considered, the wind power development goal of 400Â GW for 2030 could be achieved several years ahead of schedule even under extremely unfavorable scenarios.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews - Volume 51, November 2015, Pages 197-208
Journal: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews - Volume 51, November 2015, Pages 197-208
نویسندگان
Ze-Yu Lu, Wen-Hua Li, Bai-Chen Xie, Li-Feng Shang,