کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
883848 | 912356 | 2012 | 18 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
This paper proposes a model in which house prices are determined by economy-wide nominal income and nominal mortgage payments in the short run, while being determined by acquisition costs in the long run. The model, to a large extent, explains the 1995–2007 housing market run-up in the OECD countries by lower mortgage repayments, decreasing nominal interest rates, and increasing nominal GDP, partly induced by a large inflow of migrants. Empirical estimates give strong support for the model and suggest that it explains house prices in the OECD better than alternative models.
► Derives a behavioral model of house prices showing that house prices driven by economy-wide nominal income, nominal lending rates and mortgage repayment.
► The estimation results are consistent with the prediction of the model.
► The model explains better house prices in the OECD countries than alternative models.
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization - Volume 82, Issue 1, April 2012, Pages 21–38