Cash flow, investment, and Keynes–Minsky cycles

This paper analyzes a dynamic model with (1) an investment function that emphasizes cash flow, (2) a Keynesian macroeconomic framework that determines cash flow endogenously, (3) a dynamic labor market model that drives wage and price adjustments, and (4) boundedly rational expectations. Simulations from the calibrated model generate endogenous cycles with characteristics described in Hyman Minsky’s research. The cycle arises from the link between investment, interest rates, debt service, and cash flow. The amplitude and frequency of the cycle are related to the importance of cash flow for investment, the dynamics of inflation, and the distribution of income.