Four dimensional Science and Technology planning: A new approach based on bibliometrics and technology roadmapping

Seemingly endless new technologies are emerging. Mapping out Science and Technology (S&T) planning correctly on the national level would help innovation shareholders remain current on technological development trends and gain an advantageous position among the fierce future competition of the global market. Thus, formulating effective S&T planning is significant for a nation, especially for new and emerging technologies. This paper proposes an industry S&T planning framework. Different from previous frameworks, this methodology's dynamic is directed in four dimensions (nation, technology, industry, risks and impacts), tries to find the key elements in a specific technology area, and aims to aid in national S&T planning. China's solar cell industry is employed as the case study.

► We present a four dimensional Science and Technology planning framework.
► Combining quantitative and qualitative methods to forecast innovation paths
► Combining empirical analyses with visualization in technology roadmapping
► Case study of China's solar cell industry development