کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
896805 | 914860 | 2012 | 10 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
We present a meta-analysis of cycle periods in historical socio-economic data found in the K-wave literature. The literature on stochastic and deterministic cycles in variables such as the consumer price index, employment, interest rates, commodity prices, GDP, war and hegemony is huge and scattered. However our meta-analysis reveals various commonalities. Our key finding is that there is a common set of cycle periods that is common across most socio-economic variables.
► A Meta-analysis of cycle periods in socio-economic data in K wave literature.
► A common set of cycle periods exists across most socio-economic variables.
► Cycle periods are clustered around 8, 21, 32 and 55 years.
► Full database of findings of all authors over the past 165 years on line available.
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 79, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 59–68