کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
897082 914878 2010 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A note on the periodicities in the logistic analyses of growth processes
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A note on the periodicities in the logistic analyses of growth processes
چکیده انگلیسی

In real life growth processes there is always an intrinsic finite response time. This means that these systems do not respond instantaneously so that the logistic modeling of such processes should be formally described by a delayed logistic equation. This poses enormous difficulties to their time evolution modeling as there are no analytical solutions to the delayed logistic equation. In this paper we show that by performing a conventional Verhulst logistic modeling of the corresponding time series data, associated with a fine-coarse analysis of the resulting residuals, we can disclose the underlying periodicities due to the finite time response effects.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 77, Issue 5, June 2010, Pages 823–830
نویسندگان
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