Scientific advances in the analysis of direct risks of weed biological control agents to nontarget plants

Research on host specificity testing protocols over the last 10 years has been considerable. Traditional experimental designs have been refined and interpretation of the results is benefiting from an improved understanding of agent behavior. The strengths, weaknesses, and best practice for the different test types are now quite clearly understood. Understanding the concept of fundamental host range (the genetically determined limits to preference and performance) and using this to maximize reliability in predicting field host specificity following release (behavioral expression of the fundamental host range under particular conditions) are still inconsistently understood or adopted despite having been identified as the critical steps in analyzing the threats posed by biological control agents to the agriculture and biodiversity of novel environments. This needs to be consistently understood and applied so the process of testing can follow a recognized process of risk analysis from hazard identification (identifying life stages of the agent that pose a threat and defining their fundamental host range) to uncertainty analysis based on the magnitude (predicted field host specificity following release) and likelihood of threats (predicted actual damage and impact) to nontargets. Modern molecular techniques are answering questions associated with subspecific variation in biological control agents with respect to host use and the chance of host shifts of agents following release. Guidelines for assessment of nontarget impacts need to recognize and adopt such recent developments and emphasize a general increased understanding of the evolution of host choice and the phylogenetic constraints to shifts in host use. This review covers all these recent advances for the first time in one document, highlighting how inconsistent interpretation by biological control practitioners can be avoided.