کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
9550851 1372611 2005 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Optimal consumption and the timing of the resolution of uncertainty
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Optimal consumption and the timing of the resolution of uncertainty
چکیده انگلیسی
As is well-known, consumers want to accumulate precautionary savings in the face of income risks when their marginal utility is convex (prudence). In this paper, we explore the effect of the timing of the resolution of income uncertainty on savings. An agent faces uncertainty about his income at date t+2. What is the effect of being informed that the uncertainty will be resolved at date t+1 on the consumption at date t? We show that the effect is positive, if and only if, marginal utility is convex (prudence), when either the risk free rate is equal to the rate of pure preference for the present, or when the utility function is HARA. The intuition is that an early resolution of uncertainty allows for time-diversifying the risk. It therefore plays a role similar to a reduction of the income risk, whose effect on savings is negative under prudence.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: European Economic Review - Volume 49, Issue 3, April 2005, Pages 761-773
نویسندگان
, , ,