Using capabilities to project growth, 2010–2030

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–2030. We use a cross-country regression model where the long-run fundamentals are determined by the countries’ accumulated capabilities and the capacity to undergo structural transformation.

► We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–2030.
► Long-run fundamentals are determined by the countries’ accumulated capabilities.
► And the capacity to undergo structural transformation.
► They are proxied by measures of export sophistication and potential.