کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
967262 931184 2006 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Did sunspot forces cause the Great Depression?
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Did sunspot forces cause the Great Depression?
چکیده انگلیسی
We apply a dynamic general equilibrium model to the period of the U.S. Great Depression. In particular, we examine a modification of the real business cycle model in which the possibility of indeterminacy of equilibria arises. In other words, agents' self-fulfilling expectations can serve as a primary impulse behind fluctuations. We find that the model, driven only by these measured sunspot shocks, can explain well the entire Depression era. That is, the decline from 1929 to 1932, the subsequent slow recovery, and the recession that occurred in 1937-1938.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics - Volume 53, Issue 7, October 2006, Pages 1327-1339
نویسندگان
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