کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
968151 931455 2013 17 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
China's challenge for decarbonized growth: Forecasts from energy demand models
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
China's challenge for decarbonized growth: Forecasts from energy demand models
چکیده انگلیسی

This paper employs a spatial dynamic panel model to forecast China's energy consumption in 2011–2020. We find that energy consumption would continue to increase at least till 2020, with annual growth rates of 10% in 2011–2015 and 6% in 2016–2020. A higher proportion of service sectors in the economy and technological progress reduce energy demand. However, the latter appears to have dwindled impact since 2001. Strong spatial dependence implies copying behaviour in energy consumption across regions. Therefore, more efficient energy control at the disaggregated level can have multiplied impact on the country's goal in energy saving and carbon emission reducing.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Policy Modeling - Volume 35, Issue 4, July–August 2013, Pages 652–668
نویسندگان
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