کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
968318 | 931503 | 2016 | 17 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
We propose a simple and transparent tool to extend household-level data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey using aggregate series and micro-simulations. We quantify shocks to wealth and financial pressure faced by various categories of households since the onset of the Great Recession. The shocks differ substantially across countries and across economic and socio-demographic characteristics. We find that the rising unemployment rate disproportionately affected the income-poor, while the declining asset prices more the income-rich. Although borrowers benefited from lower interest rates, debt service-income and debt-income ratios for poor households went up due to falling incomes. As a policy contribution we illustrate how our “pseudomicro data” can be used to assess the distributional impact of asset prices on consumption: the unprecedented declines in asset prices substantially contributed to the sluggish consumption growth driven by both rich and poor households. While the former were hit by large shocks to wealth, the latter also significantly cut their spending because of their high MPCs.
Journal: Journal of Policy Modeling - Volume 38, Issue 1, January–February 2016, Pages 181–197