Box model of migration channels

• Model of migration channels is proposed.
• The model is based on the truncated Waring distribution.
• Large number of these migrants remain in the first country of the channel.
• Large part of migrants concentrate in an attractive final destination country.

We discuss a mathematical model of migration channel based on the truncated Waring distribution. The truncated Waring distribution is obtained for a more general model of motion of substance through a channel containing finite number of boxes. The model is applied then for case of migrants moving through a channel consisting of finite number of countries or cities. The number of migrants in the channel strongly depends on the number of migrants that enter the channel through the country of entrance. It is shown that if the final destination country is very popular then large percentage of migrants may concentrate there.