کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
972673 | 1479796 | 2011 | 18 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Decision-making in hard times: What is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one?
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Decision-making in hard times: What is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one? Decision-making in hard times: What is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one?](/preview/png/972673.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
Defining a recessionary event as one which impacts adversely on individuals’ economic well-being, the paper argues that recession is a multi-faceted phenomenon whose meaning differs from person to person as it impacts on their decision-making in real time. It argues that recession is best represented through the calculation of the nowcast of recession event probabilities. A variety of such probabilities are produced using a real-time data set for the US for the period, focusing on the likelihood of various recessionary events through 1986q1-2008q4 and on prospects beyond the end of the sample.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance - Volume 22, Issue 1, January 2011, Pages 43–60
Journal: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance - Volume 22, Issue 1, January 2011, Pages 43–60
نویسندگان
Kevin Lee, Kalvinder K. Shields,