کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
9732029 1480848 2005 18 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Knowing the forecasts of others
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Knowing the forecasts of others
چکیده انگلیسی
We apply recursive methods to obtain a finite dimensional and recursive representation of an equilibrium of one of Townsend's models of 'forecasting the forecasts of others'. The equilibrium has the property that decision makers make common forecasts of the hidden state variable whose presence motivates them to pay attention to prices in other markets. Thus, the model has too few sources of randomness to put decision makers into a situation where they should form 'higher order beliefs' (i.e., beliefs about others' beliefs). In Townsend's model, they know the beliefs of others because they share them. We attain our finite-dimensional recursive representation by applying methods of Pearlman, Currie, and Levine [Economic Modelling 3(2) (1986) 90].
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Review of Economic Dynamics - Volume 8, Issue 2, April 2005, Pages 480-497
نویسندگان
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