Longitudinal Analysis of Post-diploma Orientation among Young People of Bari

This paper aims to analyze the current status of orientation in the final year of secondary school degree, in order to guide pupils toward well weighted decisions. It is known that students are confused at the end of the secondary education, viewing the opportunities that exist in the academic world or in the work market. This research could give a tool to students to better explore their professional or formative futures, through a gap analysis between what students projected (ex-ante survey) and their effective choice after the end of their secondary education (ex-post choice). An easy indicator was introduced in order to measure the coherence between ex-ante and final choices after first diploma. This indicator was placed at the base of the subsequent multivariate analyses (segmentation analysis and neural network analysis) in order to identify a forecasting model.