کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
985202 | 934434 | 2007 | 20 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The rationality of EIA forecasts under symmetric and asymmetric loss
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes annual forecasts of nationally aggregated energy consumption, production, prices, intensity and GDP. These government issued forecasts often serve as reference cases in the calibration of simulation and econometric models, which climate and energy policy are based on. This study tests for rationality of published EIA forecasts under symmetric and asymmetric loss. We find strong empirical evidence of asymmetric loss for oil, coal and electricity prices as well as natural gas consumption, electricity sales, GDP and energy intensity.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Resource and Energy Economics - Volume 29, Issue 2, May 2007, Pages 102–121
Journal: Resource and Energy Economics - Volume 29, Issue 2, May 2007, Pages 102–121
نویسندگان
Maximilian Auffhammer,