کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
986643 1480808 2015 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Optimal stopping in a model of speculative attacks
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
توقف مطلوب در یک مدل حملات احتمالی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی

When faced with a speculative attack, banks and governments often hesitate, attempting to withstand the attack but giving up after some time, suggesting they have some ex-ante uncertainty about the attack they will face. I model that uncertainty as arising from incomplete information about speculators' payoffs and find conditions such that unsuccessful partial defences are possible equilibrium outcomes. There exist priors over the distribution of speculators' payoffs that can justify any possible partial defence strategy. With normal uncertainty, partial resistance is more likely when there is more aggregate uncertainty regarding agents' payoffs and less heterogeneity among them.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Review of Economic Dynamics - Volume 18, Issue 2, April 2015, Pages 212–226
نویسندگان
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