کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
997716 1481460 2010 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Online bookmakers’ odds as forecasts: The case of European soccer leagues
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Online bookmakers’ odds as forecasts: The case of European soccer leagues
چکیده انگلیسی

In this paper we examine the effectiveness of using bookmaker odds as forecasts by analyzing 10,699 matches from six major European soccer leagues and the corresponding odds from 10 different online bookmakers. We show that the odds from some bookmakers are better forecasts than those of others, and provide empirical evidence that (a) the effectiveness of using bookmaker odds as forecasts has increased over time, and (b) bookmakers offer more effective forecasts for some soccer leagues for than others.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting - Volume 26, Issue 3, July–September 2010, Pages 482–488
نویسندگان
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